Corona Cases: The Numbers Game

John Rappaport – 3/26/2020

In this episode of public health bureaucrats go crazy, let’s look at their numbers.  Let’s accept their reality for the moment—the reality they claim to be working from—and trace the implications.  Buckle up.

Start with Europe and just plain flu.  Not COV.  According to the World Health Organization (WHO) Europe, “During the winter months, influenza may infect up to 20% of the population…”  That’s ordinary seasonal flu.

The population of Europe is 741 million people.  This works out to 148 million cases of ordinary flu.  Not once.  Every year.  EVERY YEAR.

According to, “As of March 23, 2020, there have been 170,424 confirmed cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) across the whole of Europe since the first confirmed cases in France on January 25.”

I urge readers to roll those comparative figures around in their minds, and realize that ordinary flu has never been called a pandemic, and has certainly never resulted in locking down countries.

If we take the COV Europe numbers I just quoted, which cover a period of two months, and multiply by six, to estimate the number for a year, we arrive at 1,022,544 (appx. one million) cases.  And again, ordinary flu cases are 148 million EVERY YEAR.  Every year—and no mention of a pandemic. No lockdowns.

Let’s go to Italy.  According to, “Italy has the highest amount of confirmed [COV] cases in Europe with 59,138.”  That’s as of March 23.  If you multiply by six, to get a projected annual figure, you arrive at 360,000 cases

Now let’s look at ordinary flu cases for Italy in a given year.  According to, “In the winter seasons from 2013/14 to 2016/17, an estimated average of 5,290,000 ILI [influenza-like illness] cases occurred in Italy, corresponding to an incidence of 9%.” That’s 5 million plus each year.  Not just onceWas a seasonal flu pandemic declared in Italy?  Ever?  Was the whole country ever locked down as a result?  No!

Finally, let’s look at figures for ordinary flu, for the whole planet.  A study published in the journal, Pharmacy and Therapeutics, states, “Influenza is a highly contagious respiratory illness that is responsible for significant morbidity and mortality. Approximately 9% of the world’s population is affected annually, with up to 1 billion infections, 3 to 5 million severe cases, and 300,000 to 500,000 deaths each year.”

A BILLION cases EVERY YEAR.  Is this labeled a pandemic?  Is the whole world locked down every year?  No!

Feel free to track the purported number of COV cases as time passes.  As I write this, the number is 392,286 (250 times less than flu), and (purported) deaths are 17,147.  Let me know when the COV case number reaches A BILLION for the year and the number of deaths passes 300,000.  Then keep me posted on how the one billion COV cases are repeated EVERY YEAR with at least 300,000 deaths annually.

And that concludes this episode of public health officials go crazy and wreck economies and lives in the process.

There should be a tracking “world-o-meter” providing live updates on THOSE figures.

[State, county, and municipal politicians are driven by federal mandates. The coronavirus panic is fabricated at the national government level and dictated down to local levels. State and county politicians are pawns completely controlled by the feds. -ed.]




Stats Sources:
[1]. [Europe] 2018–2019 influenza season: what we know so far
[2]. Number of new coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Europe from January 25 to March 26, 2020, by date of report
[3]. Coronavirus (COVID-19) in Italy – Statistics & Facts
[4]. Investigating the impact of influenza on excess mortality in all ages in Italy during recent seasons (2013/14–2016/17 seasons)
[5]. Influenza Update: A Review of Currently Available Vaccines (P T. 2011 Oct; 36(10): 659-662, 665-668, 684.)


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